|
Q
1. Most mobile phones contain a large memory which enables the user to keep
an address book. Most telephone numbers are rarely typed into the keypad,
but are mostly picked up from the address book by scrolling through. Thus
I never put in numbers but look up: "parents" for example
in my address book.
A
Yes, the Nokia 7110 has 1000 addresses of memory and you can scroll
through with a roller button, some Japanese "phones" have a mini
joystick. I am sure as they develop, the access of book marked numbers
and sites will be in line with the present computer bookmarks and
address books. The point is that you record a number in the memory on a
portable. To record an e-mail address or a website, with the Ceetel
system you also record a number which then accesses the e-mail or URL
and that you only have to record the one number for all three main
interfaces for that person. For example, If someone has you down under
Parents and Parents Nizas for a phone call, he simply hits two buttons
to call you. To send an e-mail he has to make another entry with an
alpha/numeric entry. With Ceetel it is one entry in the address book
and he chooses "tel" or "web" for phone or e-mail.
====
Q
2. Businesses would not use Ceetel as they go to great lengths to get
attractive names such as Lastminute.com and would not want to use numbers or
letters without meaning. Their website addresses are part of their publicity
and promotion.
A Absolutely
correct, this is a very strong advantage with Ceetel, companies are
spending millions to "brand" their names and this is why the numeric
equivalent is so valuable. To type in Lastminute.com on a portable you
have to make 20 keyboard clicks to type the name. Like this (cl means
an extra click on that number, or you have to hold down the number
until the letter appears)
5 cl cl for L
2 for A
7 cl cl cl for S
8 for T
6 for M
4 cl cl for I
6 cl for N
8 cl for U
8 for T
3 cl for E
With Ceetel the name lastminute is registered as
5278646883, 10 clicks, just as it appears on the keyboard. This is a
good example as it seems that they have realised the importance of this
and they have actually registered this number as a .com. So have many
other companies such as Microsoft (642767638) in anticipation of the
wireless application. Millions of numbers which directly represent
names have been purchased by the Koreans and Japanese, I have secured a
few hundred just to see the system working. The site just switches to
the main site, just as av.com switches you to altavista.com.
The numbers have a strong meaning on the keyboard of
a portable. You just type the word, just like the old days of the UK
telephones (WHItehall 1212 for Scotland Yard)
====
Q
3. The above might also apply to private addresses, although as the system
grows it might become necessary to turn to the Ceetel idea to create enough
addresses.
A Yes, the
number (a persons phone number is all you need for the portable or any
computer) is all you need to register all information about a persons
communications addresses. However the subscriber can have as many
aliases as they like (subject to availability). They can always be
found through any International phone directory and the e-mail or URL
is automatically deduced, but this can switch directly to any required
(available) name.
====
Q
4. Many people use a number of servers at the same time for speed and
variety. I currently have 5 servers which is not unusual. Why would
people rely just on Ceetel? and if they had a number of servers, then the
concept would be less relevant.
A I have 3
servers, you and I both work on computers all day. Most people (I will
try and get the figure but Aol suggest over 95%) only need and use one
server. The reports (Yankee etc) indicate the growth is in the portable
market, prediction of a dramatic slowing in computer application for
mail and Internet and a rapid take up of wireless which suggests a
single ISP for most people. The wireless devices are mostly "tied" to a
single ISP at present. The original concept for Ceetel is to find ISP's
who want a good Unique Selling Point and to work with them as a
partners.
For Ceetel, I believe it is important to be first in the field with this service.
It is now predicted (Yankee, Gartner etc) that
wireless applications will displace the computer as the main access for
e-mail and Internet within 18 months. Japan is an extreme current
example, 7% of the population has a PC, 47% has a portable phone. In
Japan more people now use a wireless phone than a fixed phone. The
figures are almost the reverse in the rest of the world. This is not by
displacement, but by market growth.
====
Q
5. What is your critical mass? For the concept to work it would require a
significant number of users to adopt it. What in your view would be a
reasonable percentage of overall users to make it viable? How could a server
cope with that %?
A I
mention in my notes the dangers of a too rapid take up, this nearly
killed Hotmail. In many ways Ceetel has the same viral marketing
potential that Hotmail succeeded with. As to the numbers for a viable
service. I could set up a computer and make a profit with just 1000
subscribers (not much of a living) as the convenience of simple mail
and simple dialing became recognised this could grow logarithmically.
I don't like saying it as it sounds too "airy
fairy", but the Ceetel simple dialing and easy way to find a number
concept could make it the biggest ISP, not by displacement but through
the market growth of wireless hand-held systems.
====
Q
6. My view is that while it is an interesting concept how could you
persuade people to accept numbers rather than names?
A They are
not, they are simply using the visible letters on the alpha/numeric pad
for existing URLs and keying a word which is apparent and the number is
invisible. They actually just key in LASTMINUTE which is also
5278646883 and they go straight to lastminute (once they hit the web
key).
Or they key in a quickly located number, (a persons
phone number) to locate the e-mail address. We can ensure at Ceetel
that no one can register their identity through a phone number that is
not issued to them, this essential disclosure of profile makes the
ownership of a Ceetel address a high status point and clearly only
people with an address and a paid phone bill can register. This
eliminates the crooks who use Hotmail and Yahoo for illicit purposes
and e-mail scams.
The number is just the first reference point, after that any alias can be applied to the subscriber and the number is invisible.
The branding issue is so vital to the success of
many Internet businesses that this is why cyber squatters, many in
Korea and Thailand for legal reasons, are buying the portable phone
number equivalents (millions of them it seems) of these names.
Lastminute.com have secured theirs, as has Virgin, CocaCola and
Microsoft. But most companies have not, Jaguar and PepsiCola for
example (as it happens I have these but only to prove a point).
With Ceetel, only the authorised owner of a brand
name can register, just as only the subscriber to a telephone number
can have that number allocated in Ceetel. So all companies can have
their own brand, if they are Ceetel subscribers and no one else. If
they choose not to subscribe to Ceetel than we will never allocate that
keyboard name (number) to any other person or company. The overhead is
that the Ceetel identifier must be keyed in first (2331 for example for
a US company).
====
Q
7. Can you give an indication of the investment needed and the returns expected
A
In my outline I hope I explain that the essence of
the work I have done has been to secure the operating viability of the
project and I have only just started to structure the financial side.
I realise that the proposal is incomplete without a
strong financial summary and accurate projections. I am in the process
of talking to business and technical people who can complement my
skills and experience, most important is a financial controller and
someone who can present the investment figures needed.
There are several levels of entry into the service provider market, I will quickly outline three here.
1). If the idea is to be sold on to an existing ISP, I mention
Virgin in my notes as an example, then all that is needed is to secure
and prove the system and to sell or licence this package to the
operator. The investment here is very small, less than $500k to create
a working server with a few hundred subscribers to verify the marketing
advantages. This would take a matter of weeks and the ideal would be to
licence the "concept" with the secured International names. The revenue
for a licensed operation of even 1c per call would be over $1 million
pa with less than 500k subscribers (Virgin's first target).
2). To build a local ISP service, this has three revenue channels
the subscriber base, other operator licensing and the portal
advertising. The local nature would allow other licensing arrangements
on the lines of 1). and the viral growth encouraged by the advantages
offered by the Ceetel system would spin off other licensees quickly. To
set up the infrastructure of an ISP capable to offer a local service
for 500k subscribers would need an investment of around $5million to
$20 million. This big disparity in funding requirement depends on the
initial investment in services and facilities. If the maximum size is
fixed at 500k subscribers than a much simpler portal service and
wireless licensing technology is needed. To have unlimited growth for
the subscriber base (preferred) then more sophisticated equipment and
staffing is needed.
3). To build an International ISP. This is best achieved through a
service as outlined in 2). but licensing to other operators would be on
a "captive" basis, the licenses would be for limited services and the
main push would be to "brand" Ceetel (or any other suitable name) as
the preferred service provider who offers simplicity, security and a
competitive, honest, personal service (Virgin's marketing strategy but
with the advantages of Ceetel's simplicity of addressing and quality of
perceived service). The target for this market is 20 million
subscribers within 18 months, mostly from new subscription and very
little from displacement. The first tranche would be up to $20 million
in the first year. The revenue potential is very interesting. (To be as
big as Aol in 2 years is possible.)
=====
Q
8. I do not use e-mail directories, but learn e-mail addresses by
receiving
them and replying, never needing to key the e-mail address again until
it
changes. New e-mail addresses are added to my address book only at rate
of
one a week, or so. I assume that is true for most of us. I do add URL's
at
a high rate - several per day, but CeeTel does not help here.
A
The idea for Ceetel grew from my personal need to be
able to quickly and accurately locate and send e-mail to people, mostly
customers inquiring to us about vacation property, where they had sent
me an incorrect e-mail address on a booking form or in their e-mail. I
could find their phone number easily, but rarely an e-mail address.
There are many directories, but as yet, no central register. I also
find that e-mail addresses are changed, for various reasons, more often
than phone numbers. A domestic phone number or business number usually
is kept for the duration that a person or company lives in a region.
I am a very small one man (and wife) business, my
own uptake of new e-mail addresses is over 600 per week, these are
automatically logged by my e-mail client so the reply or the resending
becomes automated and reasonably accurate, I am always "weeding out"
these directories and only keep subscribers or firm inquiries. The
number of URL's I save is much less, about 20 a day according to my
files.
The computer is not the predicted growth area for
e-mail and Internet applications. It is the application of wireless
devices with their access to e-mail and Internet where the convenience
of a single numerical identity is a big advantage.
The Nokia 7110, for example, has a 1000 address
memory and it is most probable that this will continue to increase with
all new equipment. I expect that increased memory capacity will also
soon allow a similar recognition for short cuts keyed in as with most
computer e-mail clients. At present the 7110 has to be scrolled through
to find the addressee.
The problem comes when you wish to key in or search
for an alphabetic address. As there are only 8 keys for the whole
alphabet this necessitates repetitive key strokes or holding down with
constant reference to the screen. On simple tests I have done and with
many friends the error rate is over 50% for keying in an eight letter
name not including the ISP address.
=====
Q
9. Large proportion of e-mail is B2B and C2B. ( I found that my e-mail
address book is 40% corporate addressess.) Don't know if CeeTel would
work
for corporates as many corps do not have direct dial. Nor would I know
the
private phone numbers of business contacts.
A
This is certainly representative of European and
North American applications at present. The current studies suggest the
growth of wireless applications will be greater in the domestic market,
but in any event I would expect the growth in commercial applications
to be strong for wireless applications.
If you telephone a receptionist you drill down to
speak to an individual who will deal with your specific inquiry. Most
e-mail is also eventually to an individual and it is that person you
address directly, but frequently there is a general first e-mail to
admin@ or help@. The same with a numeric addressing system, by
identifying the phone number of a corporation you can send the first
e-mail request for information. When you have located the individual
you need to deal with you will have their direct phone number and now
also their direct e-mail. I have just checked my own phone book, all
the business numbers I have happen to be direct dial numbers, either
through a large corporate system, or to a small enterprise where the
corporate number is in effect the personal office number for an
individual. Interestingly most small enterprises in France give only
their portable numbers as office numbers.
One point I would make here is that it is likely
that most e-mail messages and e-mail use by wireless devices will be by
voice, either voice mail or voice recognition. With a numeric
addressing system voice recognition will be far more accurate as
numbers are much clearer and easier for all current software to
transcribe. Many email addresses will be "tricky" to dictate , Ceetel,
for example, is a nightmare for a straightforward voice recognition and
the necessity for absolute accuracy in addressing, where 233235 is
clear (this is also the Ceetel secured e-mail address, not active at
present).
=====
Q
10. People have multiple phone numbers which change from time to time for
variety of reasons. Each phone number often has multiple users. CeeTel
confusion?
A
One Internet growth area is the number consolidation
service, mostly 7000 numbers. There are a number of start-up companies
like www.yac.com and www.winbox.com who are serving the perceived need
for a central addressing service. This is usually by using premium rate
phone services to integrate phone, fax, e-mail , URL's and voice mail.
You have to register yet another new 11 digit number and this is a
limited geographical facility. It is a little illogical to consolidate
numbers buy adding yet another number to the list of numbers for people
to record or remember and this is yet another source where there is no
central directory system. If you look at the services offered by these
consolidation companies, all can be offered by Ceetel with the
advantage of a shorter number and International directory access.
There can be as many aliases at the same number as you wish.
If you change your phone number then Ceetel can
adjust this and you will be as accessible as the updates to any
telephone directory system.
=====
Q
11. If only small % (say "X") have CeeTel addresses, then only X% of
attempts
to use the phone-number based e-mail address would be successful,
leading to
disuse. Will all parties that adopt a CeeTel e-mail address need to
advise
all their contacts of the change of address?
A
As an ISP service, the Ceetel addressing system
offers exactly the same facilities as any other ISP, with perhaps the
perceived advantage of a National branding with the URL (23333 23344).
However there is the Unique Selling Point of having this bonus identity
of the registered phone number which will only ever be allocated to the
address and name registered by the PTT. Ceetel is the only provider
able to offer this globally through the names and number sets secured.
As the service grows, the value of the application grows rapidly and
the perceived value of the number service rapidly enhances the service
to the point that the Ceetel service could be the preferred service of
consolidation and convenience.
Your existing e-mail address or addresses can be retained and you can choose if these are incorporated into the service or not.
=====
Q
12. I assume that WAP devices will have downloadable (and synchronisable)
e-mail address books and bookmarks. This will eliminate need for most
keying - apart from for first time a new address or URL is entered.
A
I covered part of this question in reply to question
8. The evidence is that for some time yet (DoCoMo in Japan for example)
that the hand held applications will need a lot of convenience numbers
to be effective. There is no cut and paste with a portable device and
simple addressing, preferably numeric, systems are a logical
application.
=====
Q
13. Many people will not have URL for their own website, esp nearly all
corporate individuals. Is the CeeTel concept of linked e-mail addresses
and
URLs therefore a big advantage?
A
One application (of many) I have not elaborated on
is the (Microsoft have stated this and it is becoming more commonplace
already e.g. www.redgorilla.com) change to on-line software and a wide
range of services though ASP, Application Service Providers.
Two thirds of German and U.K. companies expect to buy
services from an application service provider (ASP) in the
next 18 months according to a new survey announced
March 29 00.
Website hosting, e-commerce, e-mail and customer
relationship management emerged as the preferred application
services in the study of the European ASP market, performed
by U.K.-based consultancy Ovum on behalf of the ASP Industry
Consortium (ASPIC).
Microsoft hope to only licence their software
on-line and not to sell packages with CD's etc. I already use a
dedicated on-line invoicing system and I am changing to all services,
accounts and even I expect word processing through an "on-line only"
licence. This will mean that far more people will use Internet sites
for their day to day office and domestic routing applications.
Shopping, banking and bill payment, not just by logging into another
site, but by utilising their own web space to consolidate a wide range
of services.
Linking the URL, e-mail and phone systems through a
consolidation service like Ceetel yet being able to retain all your
individual names and addresses is very convenient.
|